SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 19 | 21 | 42 |
| 2 | Dundalk | 18 | 13 | 34 |
| 3 | Derry City | 19 | 15 | 33 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 18 | -10 | 20 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 18 | -16 | 11 |
| 10 | University College Dublin | 18 | -27 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 62.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 16.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Dundalk in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundalk | Draw | University College Dublin |
| 62.97% | 20.86% | 16.17% |
| Both teams to score 51.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.45% | 44.55% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.08% | 66.92% |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.48% | 13.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.42% | 40.58% |
| University College Dublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.38% | 40.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.79% | 77.21% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundalk | Draw | University College Dublin |
| 2-0 @ 10.99% 1-0 @ 10.98% 2-1 @ 9.91% 3-0 @ 7.33% 3-1 @ 6.61% 4-0 @ 3.67% 4-1 @ 3.31% 3-2 @ 2.98% 4-2 @ 1.49% 5-0 @ 1.47% 5-1 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.92% Total : 62.96% | 1-1 @ 9.9% 0-0 @ 5.49% 2-2 @ 4.46% Other @ 1% Total : 20.86% | 0-1 @ 4.95% 1-2 @ 4.46% 0-2 @ 2.23% 2-3 @ 1.34% 1-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.85% Total : 16.17% |
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