League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 23

Jul 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Tolka Park

Shelbourne
3 - 1
Finn Harps

Molloy (14', 38'), Moylan (75')
Boyd (56')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Boyle (19')
Duncan (42'), Mihaljevic (67'), Rudden (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Shelbourne and Finn Harps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Shelbourne 1-1 Finn Harps

Finn Harps have struggled for form and confidence throughout the season, but they will see Friday as a good chance to pick up vital points against another side lacking momentum. While we do not see the ninth-placed side leaving with a victory, they should have enough to force a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 49.98%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 23.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 0-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shelbourne would win this match.

Result
Shelbourne	Draw	Finn Harps
49.98% ( -0.7)	26.84% ( 0.56)	23.18% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 44.8% (

-1.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.02% (

-1.83)

58.98% (

1.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.55% (

-1.44)

79.45% (

1.43)

Shelbourne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.26% (

-1.1)

23.74% (

1.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.12% (

-1.6)

57.87% (

1.6)

Finn Harps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.75% (

-0.91)

41.25% (

0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.22% (

-0.81)

77.78% (

0.81)

Score Analysis

Shelbourne 49.98%

Finn Harps 23.18%

Draw 26.84%

Shelbourne	Draw	Finn Harps
1-0 @ 14.08% ( 0.51) 2-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.47% Total : 49.98%	1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.66) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.61% Total : 26.84%	0-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 1.21% Total : 23.18%