SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Bohemians | 22 | 1 | 29 |
| 7 | Shelbourne | 21 | -9 | 25 |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 21 | -13 | 22 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 21 | -13 | 22 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 21 | -20 | 12 |
| 10 | University College Dublin | 22 | -34 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 49.98%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 23.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 0-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shelbourne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shelbourne | Draw | Finn Harps |
49.98% ( -0.7) | 26.84% ( 0.56) | 23.18% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 44.8% ( -1.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.02% ( -1.83) | 58.98% ( 1.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.55% ( -1.44) | 79.45% ( 1.43) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.26% ( -1.1) | 23.74% ( 1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.12% ( -1.6) | 57.87% ( 1.6) |
| Finn Harps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.75% ( -0.91) | 41.25% ( 0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.22% ( -0.81) | 77.78% ( 0.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shelbourne | Draw | Finn Harps |
| 1-0 @ 14.08% ( 0.51) 2-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.23)3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.47% Total : 49.98% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.66)2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.61% Total : 26.84% | 0-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 1.21% Total : 23.18% |
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