Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finn Harps win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for Drogheda United had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Finn Harps win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Drogheda United win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Finn Harps would win this match.
-0.01) 
0) 
