Although Forest Green emerged victorious in the reverse fixture, they have lost six of their last seven competitive games, and we think that they will be edged out by a Bolton side, who usually perform well on home turf.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 69.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 11.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
0.04) 
-0.03) 
