Although Fleetwood are unbeaten in their previous four away games, we think that they lose narrowly to a Portsmouth side, who have won four of their last five home matches in all competitions.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 64.45%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 15.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
-0.1) 
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