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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.87%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
34.77% ( -2.77) | 24.28% ( -0.72) | 40.95% ( 3.5) |
| Both teams to score 60.06% ( 2.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.45% ( 3.12) | 42.55% ( -3.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.04% ( 3.03) | 64.96% ( -3.03) |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.94% ( -0.08) | 24.06% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.66% ( -0.12) | 58.34% ( 0.12) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.09% ( 3.12) | 20.91% ( -3.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.37% ( 4.66) | 53.63% ( -4.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burton Albion | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.39) 1-0 @ 7.17% ( -1.06)2-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.77)3-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.37)4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.91% Total : 34.77% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.52) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.28)0-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.73)3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.2)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.28% | 1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0.41) 0-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.34)0-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.3)1-3 @ 4.58% ( 0.6)2-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.42)0-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.43)1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.37)2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.26)0-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.27)Other @ 2.76% Total : 40.95% |
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