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EFL Cup | Round of 16
Dec 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
LC

Southampton
2 - 1
Lincoln

Adams (25', 74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bazunu (2' og.)
O'Connor (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 3-1 Southampton
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Lincoln 4-2 Everton U21s
Tuesday, December 13 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Southampton 2-0 Lincoln City

With no game at the weekend, Lincoln make the long trip to the South coast fully refreshed. However, they are likely to take on a Saints side full of first-team players, leading us to predict a comfortable victory for the home side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 49.09%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Southampton in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Southampton.

Result
SouthamptonDrawLincoln City
49.09% (-0.329 -0.33) 23.78% (-0.129 -0.13) 27.13% (0.455 0.45)
Both teams to score 57.74% (0.842 0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.17% (0.929 0.93)43.83% (-0.932 -0.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.78% (0.902 0.9)66.22% (-0.904 -0.9)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.03% (0.22999999999999 0.23)17.97% (-0.232 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.18% (0.39400000000001 0.39)48.82% (-0.395 -0.4)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.39% (0.82900000000001 0.83)29.61% (-0.831 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.35% (0.997 1)65.65% (-0.999 -1)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 49.09%
    Lincoln City 27.13%
    Draw 23.78%
SouthamptonDrawLincoln City
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.14% (-0.306 -0.31)
2-0 @ 7.84% (-0.203 -0.2)
3-1 @ 5.46% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.49% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.32% (0.092 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.34% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.92% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 49.09%
1-1 @ 11.11% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.81% (0.118 0.12)
0-0 @ 5.32% (-0.219 -0.22)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.78%
1-2 @ 6.76% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
0-1 @ 6.48% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.94% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.74% (0.097 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.101 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.6% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 27.13%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Liverpool 3-1 Southampton
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 1-1 Sheff Weds (6-5 pen.)
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Southampton 1-4 Newcastle
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-0 Southampton
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 1-1 Arsenal
Sunday, October 23 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-1 Southampton
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Lincoln 4-2 Everton U21s
Tuesday, December 13 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Lincoln 0-0 Wycombe
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 2-0 Lincoln
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Morecambe (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, November 22 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Lincoln 2-1 Morecambe
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One


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