Having lost once in their last five games in all competitions, MK Dons will be confident of collecting all three points on Wednesday, and we think that they will profit against a Cheltenham side that are currently on a poor run of form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 61.4%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 16.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK Dons	Draw	Cheltenham Town
61.4%	21.98%	16.63%

Both teams to score 48.78%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.5%

48.5%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.37%

70.63%

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.7%

15.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.98%

44.02%

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.59%

42.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.21%

78.79%

Score Analysis

MK Dons 61.39%

Cheltenham Town 16.63%

Draw 21.97%

MK Dons	Draw	Cheltenham Town
1-0 @ 12.18% 2-0 @ 11.43% 2-1 @ 9.81% 3-0 @ 7.16% 3-1 @ 6.14% 4-0 @ 3.36% 4-1 @ 2.88% 3-2 @ 2.63% 5-0 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 1.24% 5-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.23% Total : 61.39%	1-1 @ 10.44% 0-0 @ 6.49% 2-2 @ 4.21% Other @ 0.83% Total : 21.97%	0-1 @ 5.57% 1-2 @ 4.48% 0-2 @ 2.39% 1-3 @ 1.28% 2-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.71% Total : 16.63%