Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 55.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.14) 
