With both teams having put together lengthy unbeaten streaks, this should be a competitive fixture. Lincoln will fancy their chances of collecting at least a point, but we feel that the Rams are playing with enough confidence to edge this contest by the odd goal in three.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 66.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 13.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.12%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
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