Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%).