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League One | Gameweek 11
Jan 14, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
St James Park
MT

Exeter
vs.
Mansfield

 
Coverage of the League One clash between Exeter City and Mansfield Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 0-0 Exeter
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One
Next Game: Leyton Orient vs. Exeter
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 0-2 Mansfield
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One
Next Game: Crawley vs. Mansfield
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%).

Result
Exeter CityDrawMansfield Town
33.05% (-1.396 -1.4) 26.89% (0.668 0.67) 40.06% (0.724 0.72)
Both teams to score 50.85% (-2.444 -2.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.74% (-2.98 -2.98)54.26% (2.976 2.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.34% (-2.547 -2.55)75.66% (2.543 2.54)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.23% (-2.372 -2.37)30.77% (2.369 2.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.96% (-2.888 -2.89)67.03% (2.884 2.88)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.44% (-0.983 -0.98)26.55% (0.979 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.23% (-1.317 -1.32)61.76% (1.313 1.31)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 33.05%
    Mansfield Town 40.06%
    Draw 26.88%
Exeter CityDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 9.63% (0.487 0.49)
2-1 @ 7.53% (-0.321 -0.32)
2-0 @ 5.68% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-1 @ 2.96% (-0.336 -0.34)
3-0 @ 2.23% (-0.185 -0.19)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.285 -0.29)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 33.05%
1-1 @ 12.76% (0.3 0.3)
0-0 @ 8.17% (0.907 0.91)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.36 -0.36)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.88%
0-1 @ 10.83% (0.926 0.93)
1-2 @ 8.47% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.18% (0.43 0.43)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-3 @ 3.18% (0.106 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.226 -0.23)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.05% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 40.06%

Form Guide
Last Game: Wigan 0-0 Exeter
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 2-0 Spurs U21s
Tuesday, September 24 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Exeter 2-0 Stevenage
Saturday, September 21 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 2-1 Exeter
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 2-1 Swindon
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Bolton 0-2 Exeter
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 0-2 Mansfield
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Mansfield 2-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Mansfield 0-3 Bradford
Tuesday, September 17 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Mansfield 2-1 Cambridge
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Mansfield 1-1 Stockport
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 4-1 Mansfield
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League One


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