Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0) 
