Exeter are currently in imperious form, and we think that they will pick up all three points on Tuesday when they face a Crawley side that are low on confidence after losing their last two matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 59.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 17.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Exeter City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Exeter City.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Crawley Town
59.6%	22.73%	17.67%

Both teams to score 48.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.08%

49.91%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.1%

71.9%

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.62%

16.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.99%

46.01%

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.04%

41.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.6%

78.4%

Score Analysis

Exeter City 59.59%

Crawley Town 17.67%

Draw 22.72%

Exeter City	Draw	Crawley Town
1-0 @ 12.43% 2-0 @ 11.24% 2-1 @ 9.77% 3-0 @ 6.78% 3-1 @ 5.89% 4-0 @ 3.07% 4-1 @ 2.66% 3-2 @ 2.56% 4-2 @ 1.16% 5-0 @ 1.11% 5-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.96% Total : 59.59%	1-1 @ 10.79% 0-0 @ 6.87% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.82% Total : 22.72%	0-1 @ 5.97% 1-2 @ 4.69% 0-2 @ 2.59% 1-3 @ 1.36% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.83% Total : 17.67%