SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Doncaster Rovers | 6 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Salford City | 6 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Stevenage | 6 | 3 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 21 | Gillingham | 6 | -7 | 4 |
| 22 | Crawley Town | 6 | -5 | 2 |
| 23 | Hartlepool United | 6 | -9 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 55.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Crawley Town |
55.23% ( 0.03) | 23.18% ( -0.28) | 21.6% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 53.54% ( 1.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.51% ( 1.51) | 46.49% ( -1.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.24% ( 1.41) | 68.77% ( -1.4) |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.31% ( 0.56) | 16.69% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.43% ( 0.99) | 46.58% ( -0.98) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.26% ( 1.11) | 35.74% ( -1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.49% ( 1.12) | 72.51% ( -1.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Salford City | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.48) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.25)3-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.17% Total : 55.23% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.39)2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.17% | 0-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.89% Total : 21.6% |
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