Both sides will be desperate to avoid defeat in this promotion 'six-pointer', so do not expect much to separate the sides. However, Wimbledon's impressive defensive record may see them come out on top if they can manage to keep a clean sheet on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
33.14% ( 0.01)	28% ( 0)	38.86% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 47.5% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.51% (

-0.02)

58.49% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.93% (

-0.01)

79.07% (

0.01)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.13% (

-0)

32.86% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.56% (

-0)

69.43% (

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.75% (

-0.02)

29.25% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.8% (

-0.02)

65.2% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 33.13%

AFC Wimbledon 38.85%

Draw 27.99%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.32% 2-0 @ 5.95% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.71% 3-0 @ 2.21% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 33.13%	1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.99%	0-1 @ 11.81% 1-2 @ 8.08% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.26% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.98% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.63% Total : 38.85%