Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 46.17%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0) 
