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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 20, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Blundell Park
MT

Grimsby Town
2 - 0
Mansfield

Khan (15'), Orsi (39')
Pearson (60')
FT(HT: 2-0)

O'Toole (33')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Grimsby Town and Mansfield Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 51.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.84%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 1-0 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawMansfield Town
23% (-1.983 -1.98) 25.26% (0.137 0.14) 51.74% (1.851 1.85)
Both teams to score 48.95% (-2.487 -2.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.55% (-2.234 -2.23)53.45% (2.237 2.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.02% (-1.92 -1.92)74.98% (1.924 1.92)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.71% (-3.032 -3.03)38.29% (3.037 3.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.95% (-3.034 -3.03)75.05% (3.038 3.04)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.33% (-0.123 -0.12)20.67% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.75% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)53.25% (0.201 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 23%
    Mansfield Town 51.73%
    Draw 25.25%
Grimsby TownDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 7.6% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 5.75% (-0.481 -0.48)
2-0 @ 3.65% (-0.29 -0.29)
3-1 @ 1.84% (-0.325 -0.33)
3-2 @ 1.45% (-0.263 -0.26)
3-0 @ 1.17% (-0.201 -0.2)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 23%
1-1 @ 11.97% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.92% (0.672 0.67)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.398 -0.4)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 12.47% (1.01 1.01)
0-2 @ 9.84% (0.766 0.77)
1-2 @ 9.44% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 5.17% (0.383 0.38)
1-3 @ 4.96% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.219 -0.22)
0-4 @ 2.04% (0.143 0.14)
1-4 @ 1.96% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 51.73%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Colchester 0-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Gillingham
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-2 Grimsby Town
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Derby 3-1 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, August 30 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Walsall 1-2 Grimsby Town
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 0-3 Nott'm Forest
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Mansfield
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 0-0 Carlisle
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 1-3 Mansfield
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 3-2 Man City U21s
Tuesday, August 30 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Sutton 2-1 Mansfield
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 2-1 Stockport
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League Two


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