Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 51.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.84%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 1-0 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
-1.98) 
0.14) 
