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Thursday, March 28
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League Two | Gameweek 17
Oct 29, 2022 at 2pm UK
Sixfields
NC

Northampton
1 - 1
Newport

Hoskins (90+3')
Leonard (38'), Haynes (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bogle (2')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Northampton Town and Newport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawNewport County
40.11% (0.014000000000003 0.01) 27.13% (0.0019999999999989 0) 32.76% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.03% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.74% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)55.26% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.51% (-0.011999999999997 -0.01)76.49% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.01% (0.0010000000000048 0)26.99% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.66% (0.00099999999999767 0)62.34% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.53% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)31.47% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.14% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)67.85% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 40.11%
    Newport County 32.76%
    Draw 27.12%
Northampton TownDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 11.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.42% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 7.29% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 3.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.18% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.2%
4-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 40.11%
1-1 @ 12.86%
0-0 @ 8.49% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.12%
0-1 @ 9.82%
1-2 @ 7.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.68% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 2.87% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 2.19% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 32.76%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Northampton 2-2 Sutton
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 2-3 Northampton
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 1-3 Arsenal U21s
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-0 Northampton
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Salford City
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 1-0 Northampton
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 0-0 Newport
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 1-0 Colchester
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 2-1 Saints U21s
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Crawley 2-1 Newport
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-1 Rochdale
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 1-0 Newport
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in League Two


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