SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 51.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City | Draw | Newport County |
51.44% ( -0.02) | 24.45% ( -0.01) | 24.1% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.61% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.76% ( 0.04) | 49.23% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.7% ( 0.04) | 71.29% ( -0.04) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.87% ( 0.01) | 19.13% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.23% ( 0.01) | 50.77% ( -0.01) |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.05% ( 0.04) | 34.95% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.31% ( 0.04) | 71.69% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.61% 2-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.3% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.04% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.09% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 3.07% Total : 51.44% | 1-1 @ 11.62% 0-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.45% | 0-1 @ 7.03% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.69% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 2.06% Total : 24.1% |
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