As impressive as Newport have been on home soil recently, winning away from home has not been so simple for the League Two side, who should not expect miracles at the King Power.
Leicester will certainly not field a full-strength XI, but with form on their side and an impeccable defensive record to boast about, we expect the Foxes to cruise through to round four.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 51.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
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