Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
