SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
42.73% ( -0.16) | 24.86% ( 0.05) | 32.41% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 57.29% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.14% ( -0.18) | 45.86% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.82% ( -0.17) | 68.17% ( 0.17) |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.51% ( -0.16) | 21.49% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.47% ( -0.23) | 54.53% ( 0.23) |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.96% ( -0.02) | 27.04% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.6% ( -0.02) | 62.4% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 42.73% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.86% | 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 3.05% Total : 32.41% |
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