Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 54%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 22.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Oldham Athletic win it was 1-0 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
