SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | Hearts |
36.18% ( -0.16) | 25.8% ( -0.05) | 38.02% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 54.9% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.69% ( 0.21) | 49.31% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.63% ( 0.19) | 71.36% ( -0.19) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.58% ( 0.01) | 26.42% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.41% ( 0.01) | 61.58% ( -0.01) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.61% ( 0.21) | 25.38% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.81% ( 0.29) | 60.19% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberdeen | Draw | Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 3.24% Total : 36.18% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.39% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.83% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.56% Total : 38.02% |
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