SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 58.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 19.28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | St Mirren |
58.86% ( 0.4) | 21.85% ( -0.07) | 19.28% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 54.24% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.21% ( -0.21) | 43.78% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.82% ( -0.2) | 66.17% ( 0.19) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.46% ( 0.05) | 14.54% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.42% ( 0.11) | 42.57% ( -0.12) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.46% ( -0.48) | 36.53% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.68% ( -0.48) | 73.32% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberdeen | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.78% Total : 58.86% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.85% | 0-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.72% Total : 19.28% |
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