SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Accrington Stanley in this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Barrow |
38.44% ( 0.01) | 26.04% ( -0.01) | 35.51% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.03% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.6% ( 0.02) | 50.4% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.66% ( 0.02) | 72.34% ( -0.02) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.35% ( 0.01) | 25.65% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.44% ( 0.02) | 60.55% ( -0.02) |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.67% ( 0) | 27.33% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.22% ( 0.01) | 62.78% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Barrow |
| 1-0 @ 9.54% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.49% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.94% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0)4-0 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 38.44% | 1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.03% 0-2 @ 5.9% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.47% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 2.99% Total : 35.51% |
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