Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Accrington Stanley in this match.
0.01) 
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