SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Ayr United |
40.5% ( -0.22) | 25.39% ( 0.05) | 34.11% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 56.02% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.26% ( -0.18) | 47.74% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.06% ( -0.17) | 69.93% ( 0.17) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.62% ( -0.19) | 23.37% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.64% ( -0.28) | 57.35% ( 0.28) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.1% ( 0.01) | 26.89% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.79% ( 0.01) | 62.21% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.07% Total : 40.5% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.88% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 3.09% Total : 34.11% |
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