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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 59.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 19.79%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 1-0 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 1-2 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
59.98% ( 0.21) | 20.23% ( -0.15) | 19.79% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 60.91% ( 0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.56% ( 0.64) | 35.44% ( -0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.53% ( 0.71) | 57.47% ( -0.71) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.45% ( 0.25) | 11.55% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.52% ( 0.54) | 36.48% ( -0.54) |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.86% ( 0.33) | 31.14% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.53% ( 0.38) | 67.47% ( -0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajax | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.1)1-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.64% Total : 59.98% | 1-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.28% Total : 20.23% | 1-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.64% Total : 19.79% |
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