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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 66.13%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 16.79%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.71%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
66.13% ( -0.83) | 17.07% ( 0.22) | 16.79% ( 0.6) |
| Both teams to score 67.31% ( 0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.09% ( 0.07) | 24.9% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.21% ( 0.09) | 44.79% ( -0.09) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.83% ( -0.14) | 7.17% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.93% ( -0.36) | 26.07% ( 0.37) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.51% ( 0.67) | 27.48% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.02% ( 0.86) | 62.98% ( -0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajax | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.16)1-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.09)5-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.03)6-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.04)6-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.05% Total : 66.13% | 1-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.53% Total : 17.07% | 1-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.95% Total : 16.79% |
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