Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 78%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 9.34%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 3-0 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.07%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (2.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
78% (![]() | 12.65% (![]() | 9.34% (![]() |
Both teams to score 62.29% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
78.62% (![]() | 21.38% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
59.96% (![]() | 40.03% (![]() |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.57% (![]() | 4.42% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
81.79% (![]() | 18.21% (![]() |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.16% (![]() | 34.83% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.43% (![]() | 71.56% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
3-1 @ 8.21% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.9% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.79% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.49% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 6.4% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 6.07% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 4.8% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.33% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 3.99% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 3.79% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 3.38% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 2.08% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.97% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.19% ( ![]() 6-2 @ 1.1% ( ![]() 7-1 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 4.5% Total : 78% | 1-1 @ 5.07% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.17% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.52% ( ![]() Other @ 0.36% Total : 12.65% | 1-2 @ 2.67% (![]() 0-1 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.46% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.64% Total : 9.34% |
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