SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Rayyan win with a probability of 52.94%. A win for Umm Salal had a probability of 24.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Rayyan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Umm Salal win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Rayyan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Rayyan | Draw | Umm Salal |
52.94% ( 0.06) | 22.21% ( -0.02) | 24.85% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 60.97% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.44% ( 0.06) | 38.56% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.15% ( 0.06) | 60.85% ( -0.06) |
| Al-Rayyan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.33% ( 0.04) | 14.67% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.18% ( 0.08) | 42.82% ( -0.07) |
| Umm Salal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.45% ( 0.01) | 28.55% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.66% ( 0.01) | 64.34% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Rayyan | Draw | Umm Salal |
| 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.72% 3-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 3.27% Total : 52.94% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.21% | 1-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0)Other @ 3.45% Total : 24.85% |
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