SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wakrah win with a probability of 48.53%. A win for Al Ahli had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Wakrah win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.35%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Al Ahli win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Wakrah | Draw | Al Ahli |
48.53% ( 0.27) | 21.98% ( 0.04) | 29.49% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 66.13% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.42% ( -0.41) | 33.58% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.61% ( -0.46) | 55.38% ( 0.46) |
| Al Wakrah Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.65% ( -0.06) | 14.35% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.8% ( -0.11) | 42.2% ( 0.11) |
| Al Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.21% ( -0.39) | 22.79% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.51% ( -0.58) | 56.49% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Wakrah | Draw | Al Ahli |
| 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.86% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.11% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.58% Total : 48.53% | 1-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.43% Total : 21.98% | 1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.14% Total : 29.49% |
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