SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 39%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Arbroath |
39% ( 0.08) | 24.66% ( -0.02) | 36.33% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 58.96% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.9% ( 0.08) | 44.1% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.52% ( 0.08) | 66.48% ( -0.08) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.48% ( 0.07) | 22.52% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.91% ( 0.11) | 56.09% ( -0.11) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.09% ( 0) | 23.91% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.88% ( 0) | 58.12% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Arbroath |
| 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.33% Total : 39% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.65% | 1-2 @ 8.22% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 36.33% |
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