Given the defensive records of both sides heading into this one, we expect neither of them to come away with a clean sheet. We can also see the spoils being shared at the end of the 90 minutes, with the teams having to make do with a point apiece.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
3.27) 
-4.88) 
