Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that America Mineiro would win this match.

Result
America Mineiro	Draw	Fortaleza
41.49% ( 6.49)	26.64% ( -0.36)	31.87% ( -6.13)

Both teams to score 51.26% (

0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.43% (

0.85)

53.57% (

-0.84)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.92% (

0.71)

75.07% (

-0.71)

America Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.52% (

4.11)

25.48% (

-4.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.69% (

5.31)

60.31% (

-5.31)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.78% (

-3.44)

31.21% (

3.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.44% (

-4.2)

67.56% (

4.2)

Score Analysis

America Mineiro 41.48%

Fortaleza 31.87%

Draw 26.64%

America Mineiro	Draw	Fortaleza
1-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.87) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.85) 2-0 @ 7.44% ( 1.34) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.78) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.92) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.27) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.38) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.41) Other @ 2.38% Total : 41.48%	1-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.64%	0-1 @ 9.26% ( -1.26) 1-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.84) 0-2 @ 5.39% ( -1.35) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.65) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.79) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.95% Total : 31.87%