Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Amorebieta had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Amorebieta win was 1-0 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0) 
