SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Angers had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Angers win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lens in this match.
| Result | ||
| Angers | Draw | Lens |
33.52% ( 0.15) | 27.09% ( -0.02) | 39.39% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 50.31% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.01% ( 0.09) | 54.99% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.74% ( 0.07) | 76.26% ( -0.07) |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.17% ( 0.14) | 30.83% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.89% ( 0.17) | 67.1% ( -0.17) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.73% ( -0.03) | 27.26% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.3% ( -0.04) | 62.7% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Angers | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 9.89% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.07% Total : 33.52% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.09% | 0-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0)0-4 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.02% Total : 39.39% |
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