SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 51.85%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 25.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Annan Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Stranraer |
51.85% ( 0.09) | 22.92% ( -0.27) | 25.23% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 58.88% ( 1.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.51% ( 1.37) | 41.49% ( -1.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.11% ( 1.38) | 63.89% ( -1.38) |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.91% ( 0.53) | 16.09% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.52% ( 0.96) | 45.48% ( -0.96) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.17% ( 0.87) | 29.83% ( -0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.09% ( 1.05) | 65.91% ( -1.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Stranraer |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.39)2-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.49% Total : 51.85% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.13)0-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.3)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.92% | 1-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.14% Total : 25.23% |
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