Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
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