SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Ayr United |
34.67% ( -0) | 25.01% ( -0) | 40.31% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 57.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.04% ( 0) | 45.96% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.73% ( 0) | 68.27% ( -0) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.29% ( -0) | 25.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.36% | 60.63% ( -0) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.31% | 22.69% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.66% ( 0) | 56.34% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Ayr United |
| 2-1 @ 7.98% 1-0 @ 7.92% 2-0 @ 5.38% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.61% 3-2 @ 2.68% 3-0 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.52% Total : 34.67% | 1-1 @ 11.75% 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 5.83% 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.01% | 1-2 @ 8.72% 0-1 @ 8.65% 0-2 @ 6.42% 1-3 @ 4.31% 0-3 @ 3.17% 2-3 @ 2.93% 1-4 @ 1.6% 0-4 @ 1.18% 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 2.25% Total : 40.31% |
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