SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
35.93% ( -0.01) | 25.09% | 38.97% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.36% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.86% ( 0.01) | 46.14% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.56% ( 0.01) | 68.43% ( -0.01) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.92% ( -0.01) | 25.07% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.24% ( -0.01) | 59.76% ( 0) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.55% ( 0.01) | 23.44% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.55% ( 0.01) | 57.45% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 8.16% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.13% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.62% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.73% 3-0 @ 2.59% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.69% Total : 35.94% | 1-1 @ 11.79% 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.88% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.08% | 1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.53% 0-2 @ 6.18% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.14% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.99% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.1% Total : 38.97% |
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