SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
43.57% ( -1.05) | 24.1% ( 0.43) | 32.32% ( 0.63) |
| Both teams to score 59.91% ( -1.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.58% ( -1.78) | 42.41% ( 1.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.18% ( -1.8) | 64.82% ( 1.81) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.32% ( -1.17) | 19.67% ( 1.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.34% ( -1.94) | 51.66% ( 1.94) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.58% ( -0.48) | 25.42% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.76% ( -0.67) | 60.23% ( 0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.35)2-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.22)3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.2)4-1 @ 2% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.11% Total : 43.57% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 5% ( 0.39)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.1% | 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.44)0-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.54% Total : 32.32% |
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