SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Santa Clara |
29.82% ( 0.72) | 27.11% ( 0.31) | 43.06% ( -1.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.99% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.92% ( -0.87) | 56.08% ( 0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.85% ( -0.71) | 77.15% ( 0.72) |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.02% ( 0.08) | 33.98% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.34% ( 0.09) | 70.66% ( -0.08) |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.2% ( -0.92) | 25.8% ( 0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.25% ( -1.26) | 60.75% ( 1.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arouca | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 1-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.33% Total : 29.83% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.11% | 0-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 8.05% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.22% Total : 43.06% |
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