SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 62.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Monaco had a probability of 16.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Monaco win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Monaco |
62.07% ( 0.04) | 21.43% ( 0) | 16.5% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.23% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.58% ( -0.09) | 46.42% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.29% ( -0.08) | 68.7% ( 0.08) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.6% ( -0.02) | 14.39% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.7% ( -0.03) | 42.3% ( 0.03) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.68% ( -0.11) | 41.32% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.16% ( -0.09) | 77.84% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Monaco |
| 1-0 @ 11.52% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.09% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.36% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 2.56% Total : 62.06% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.93% Total : 21.43% | 0-1 @ 5.26% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.32% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.8% Total : 16.5% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
