Being without a top chance creator in Golovin will not be easy for the home side, but they are facing an unstable defensive unit that make their share of mistakes at the back.
Outside of Lacazette, there is little consistent quality at Lyon right now, while Les Monegasques are a lot sounder defensively in the Principality.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 54.21%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 23.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
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