Unlikely to be undeterred by their trip to Kazakhstan, Dinamo should claim a 2-1 triumph at Astana that seals comfortable progress to the third qualifying round.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Astana had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Astana win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.
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