SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.37%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Liverpool |
43.24% ( 0.86) | 23.57% ( -0.14) | 33.2% ( -0.72) |
| Both teams to score 62.22% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.47% ( 0.45) | 39.53% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.12% ( 0.47) | 61.88% ( -0.47) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.36% ( 0.55) | 18.63% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.05% ( 0.92) | 49.94% ( -0.92) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.47% ( -0.19) | 23.53% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.43% ( -0.28) | 57.57% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.53% Total : 43.24% | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 7.71% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 6.34% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.01% Total : 33.2% |
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