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Copa del Rey | Final
Apr 6, 2024 at 9pm UK
San Mames Barria
ML

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 1
Mallorca

Athletic Bilbao win 4-2 on penalties
Sancet (50')
Paredes (27')
FT
(aet)
Rodriguez (21')
Muriqi (90+1'), Radonjic (119'), Gonzalez (126')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 61.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 15.66%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.37%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawMallorca
61.68% (0.127 0.13) 22.66% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 15.66% (-0.107 -0.11)
Both teams to score 44.79% (-0.167 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.22% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)52.78% (0.101 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.59% (-0.084 -0.08)74.41% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.33% (0.010999999999996 0.01)16.67% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.46% (0.015000000000001 0.02)46.53% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.75% (-0.207 -0.21)46.25% (0.207 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.09% (-0.159 -0.16)81.91% (0.161 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 61.68%
    Mallorca 15.66%
    Draw 22.66%
Athletic BilbaoDrawMallorca
1-0 @ 13.81% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 12.37% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.39% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.7% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.31% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.55% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.19% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.007 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 61.68%
1-1 @ 10.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.71% (0.031 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.68% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 22.66%
0-1 @ 5.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.11% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.29% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.06% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 15.66%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, March 31 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Alaves
Saturday, March 16 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Las Palmas 0-2 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, March 10 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-0 Barcelona
Sunday, March 3 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 3-0 Atletico
Thursday, February 29 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Betis 3-1 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, February 25 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 0-0 Mallorca
Saturday, March 30 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 1-0 Granada
Saturday, March 16 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 1-0 Mallorca
Friday, March 8 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 1-0 Girona
Sunday, March 3 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-1 Mallorca (4-4 pen.)
Tuesday, February 27 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Alaves 1-1 Mallorca
Saturday, February 24 at 5.30pm in La Liga


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