While Alaves have put together a run for form to start the new year, they face their biggest challenge yet as they go up against a high-flying Bilbao side who have won their last five matches across all competitions. Valverde's side are unbeaten at home since losing to Real Madrid in August's La Liga opener and we are tipping them to come away with another victory in front of their home supporters.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 59.55%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 16.61%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.29%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.
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