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AU
Major League Soccer
Aug 31, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
FC

Atlanta
1 - 2
Cincinnati

Mosquera (10')
Rossetto (60'), Muyumba (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Acosta (75'), Vazquez (80')
Nwobodo (41')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 4-0 Nashville
Sunday, August 27 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-0 NY City
Sunday, August 27 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 1-1 FC Cincinnati

FC Cincinnati have been one of the best teams in the country so far this season, but they have been a little more suspect in some of their away matches, losing 3-0 at Columbus Crew in their last match on the road. Considering Atlanta United are in good form, winning their last two MLS games, we think Wednesday's game could end up finishing as a draw.

How to watch

You can watch Atlanta United vs. FC Cincinnati and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 56.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 21.57%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-2 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawFC Cincinnati
56.7% (0.060000000000002 0.06) 21.73% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 21.57% (-0.055 -0.05)
Both teams to score 58.37% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.93% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)40.07% (0.07 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.57% (-0.07 -0.07)62.43% (0.073 0.07)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)13.98% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.51% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)41.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.85% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)32.14% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.37% (-0.104 -0.1)68.62% (0.105 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 56.7%
    FC Cincinnati 21.57%
    Draw 21.73%
Atlanta UnitedDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 8.84% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.7% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 5.7% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.67% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.18%
4-0 @ 2.81% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.81% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.25%
5-0 @ 1.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 56.7%
1-1 @ 10.03%
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.49% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.73%
1-2 @ 5.7% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.1% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 2.9% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.16% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 21.57%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Atlanta 4-0 Nashville
Sunday, August 27 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 0-2 Atlanta
Monday, August 21 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 1-2 Orlando City
Sunday, July 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 2-1 Atlanta
Thursday, July 13 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 0-1 Atlanta
Sunday, July 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-0 Philadelphia
Sunday, July 2 at 9pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-0 NY City
Sunday, August 27 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-3 Inter Miami (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, August 24 at 12am in US Open Cup
Last Game: Columbus Crew 3-0 Cincinnati
Monday, August 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-1 Nashville
Sunday, July 16 at 1.32am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-2 Cincinnati
Thursday, July 13 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-2 Cincinnati
Sunday, July 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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