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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 58.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 19.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | New England Revolution |
58.15% ( -0.09) | 22.82% ( 0.03) | 19.03% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.67% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.69% ( -0.08) | 48.31% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.54% ( -0.08) | 70.46% ( 0.08) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.68% ( -0.06) | 16.32% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.09% ( -0.11) | 45.91% ( 0.11) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.56% ( 0.01) | 39.44% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.86% ( 0.01) | 76.14% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 1-0 @ 11.66% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.09% Total : 58.13% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0)Other @ 0.95% Total : 22.82% | 0-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.57% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.22% Total : 19.03% |
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