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Major League Soccer
Aug 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Lower.com Field
FC

Columbus Crew
3 - 0
Cincinnati

Morris (15'), Camilo Hernandez (23' pen.), Russell-Rowe (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Nwobodo (45+2'), Arias (76')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portland 3-2 Columbus Crew
Sunday, July 16 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-1 Nashville
Sunday, July 16 at 1.32am in Major League Soccer

We said: Columbus Crew 2-2 FC Cincinnati

While the visitors have been the best team in the league this season, they are not as dominant on their travels as they are back home. The Crew, on the other hand, have one of the best home records in the league this season, and we fancy them to take a share of the spoils in this one.

How to watch

You can watch Columbus Crew vs. FC Cincinnati and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 55.76%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 21.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
Columbus CrewDrawFC Cincinnati
55.76% (-0.168 -0.17) 22.62% (0.157 0.16) 21.62% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.39% (-0.514 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.97% (-0.689 -0.69)44.03% (0.691 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.58% (-0.675 -0.68)66.42% (0.67800000000001 0.68)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.36% (-0.295 -0.3)15.64% (0.297 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.34% (-0.551 -0.55)44.65% (0.552 0.55)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.66% (-0.378 -0.38)34.34% (0.378 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.96% (-0.405 -0.41)71.04% (0.40600000000001 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Columbus Crew 55.76%
    FC Cincinnati 21.62%
    Draw 22.62%
Columbus CrewDrawFC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 9.96% (0.197 0.2)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.24% (0.09 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.11% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.72% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.84% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.65% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.52% (-0.049 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.05% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 55.76%
1-1 @ 10.65% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 5.37% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.62%
0-1 @ 5.74% (0.113 0.11)
1-2 @ 5.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.07% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.03% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 21.62%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Portland 3-2 Columbus Crew
Sunday, July 16 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-1 NY City
Sunday, July 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-2 Columbus Crew
Wednesday, July 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-1 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, July 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-0 Nashville
Sunday, June 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 1-1 Columbus Crew
Saturday, June 17 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-1 Nashville
Sunday, July 16 at 1.32am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-2 Cincinnati
Thursday, July 13 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-2 Cincinnati
Sunday, July 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-2 New England
Sunday, July 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 3-0 Cincinnati
Sunday, June 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-0 Toronto
Thursday, June 22 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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